Best Bets for Iowa

Facebooktwitter

The Cup Series will compete at Iowa Speedway for the first time this weekend. We do not have any data to work with so I wanted to wait until after practice to post my Best Bets for the Iowa Corn 350. We might have been able to get some better odds earlier in the week, but I do not expect any significant change until the starting lineup is set for Sunday night’s race.

 

DRAFTKINGS ODDS FOR IOWA

* The odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds could change between the time of this article and the time you place your bet.

 

BETTING STRATEGY FOR IOWA

We may have a problem at Iowa Speedway. The track was repaved and it is so fast now that the Goodyear tires burn up and explode after 25-30 laps. There are some drivers who have been good on the short, flat tracks and other drivers who were fast in practice. I do not think all of those matters much Sunday night. I am betting on the drivers who can keep the tires from popping at Iowa.

Brad Keselowski said after practice, “It looks like we may have another Bristol race this week. Tire management is going to be more important than speed at this track.” The Xfinity Series race played out the way Keselowski predicted the Cup Series race will Sunday night. I am betting some of the drivers who were good at managing their tires at Bristol, because the same skill may be needed at Iowa.

 

BETTING CARD FOR IOWA

 

DENNY HAMLIN (+500): Hamlin has been a beast on the tracks under 1.5-miles in length this year. He won at Bristol, Richmond and Dover and Hamlin finished second at Gateway. He does not have much experience at Iowa, but he is smart enough to figure it out. Hamlin led 163 laps at Bristol and smoked the field by saving his tires. I will play the No. 11 car and hope he can do it again.

RYAN BANEY (+750): Team Penske has found some speed over the last month. Joey Logano smoked the field at North Wilksboro in the All-Star Race and Austin Cindric won at Gateway (Ryan Blaney or Christopher Bell should have won that race). Do not be fooled by Blaney’s speed in practice. The track kept getting faster and faster, but the No. 12 team parked their car with about eight minutes left because so many teams had issues with their tires. Blaney has a good chance to win from the front row Sunday night.

JOEY LOGANO (+1200): Whenever NASCAR races somewhere new, Logano wins the race. At least that is what it seems like. NASCAR will use the same tire that was used in the All-Star Race at North Wilksboro. Logano totally dominated at North Wilkboro by leading every lap but one. He also finished second at Richmond. Logano is a good pick at +1200.

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+1400): Keseloski is one of the smartest drivers in the Cup Series. While the other teams are totally confused about the race Sunday night, I am sure Keselowski knows exactly what to expect. He finished third at Bristol by managing his tires and he should be able to do the same Sunday night.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+1800): Truex led 54 laps at Bristol and managed his tires beautifully at Bristol. I want experience in a race where tire management is the key to winning. Truex finished second at Bristol and he has a history of dominating the short, flat tracks, no matter where he starts in the race. I will bet Truex can win at Iowa.

CHRIS BUESCHER (+3000): Buescher has four starts at Iowa Speedway in the Xfinity Series. That includes a trip to Victory Lane in 2015. Buescher has been good on tracks similar to Iowa this year. He finished second at Phoenix and ninth at Richmond. The No. 17 car has been so close to winning this year. +3000 is just too good to pass up at a race that may get wild Sunday night.

 

Good luck Sunday!

Follow me on X (Twitter) @MrFantasyNASCAR