The race last week at the Charlotte Roval played out about how I expected it would. I bet AJ Allmendinger at every road course race and I always lose my bets. I decided to fade him last week and he went to Victory Lane. I knew as soon as I left him off my betting slip, he was almost a lock to win. That is how my luck tends to be with some of these bets.
The Cup Series travels back to Las Vegas this weekend. This is the sixth race on 1.5-mile intermediate track (not including the races at Atlanta). Four drivers have won the five races on the 1.5-mile tracks. The winners include William Byron (Las Vegas), Denny Hamlin (Kansas Spring), Ryan Blaney (Charlotte), Tyler Reddick (Kansas Fall) and William Byron (Texas). Byron is the only driver to win multiple races at tracks similar to Las Vegas. Kyle Larson has not won, but he has been fast in all of these races. There is a good chance that the winner will come from the list of drivers above.
DRAFTKINGS ODDS FOR LAS VEGAS
* The odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds could change between the time of this article and the time you place your bet.
** The first number is the amount of money based on the second number (the amount of the wager). So if you bet $1 on William Byron at 5-1 odds, you will win $5.
WILLIAM BYRON (5-1): Byron completely smoked the field last March at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. He qualified second, led 176 of the 271 laps, won both Stages and went to Victory Lane. Byron also won the last race on a 1.5-mile track at Texas. That win gave his team three weeks to prepare their car for Las Vegas, since Byron was locked into the Round of 8. Byron dominated the last race at Las Vegas and I will bet he can do it again Sunday.
KYLE LARSON (5-1): Hendrick Motorsports has dominated the races at Las Vegas in the Gen-7 car. Larson led 63 laps (second-most behind William Byron), finished second in both Stages (behind William Byron) and finished second in the race (behind William Byron). The No. 5 and No. 24 cars for Hendrick Motorsports dominated the last race at Las Vegas and they have been two of the best cars on the 1.5-mile tracks this year. I hate betting the favorites, but all of the stats suggest these two drivers should dominate the race Sunday.
BUBBA WALLACE (22-1): The driver was has surprised me the most this year is Wallace. I always considered him a Superspeedway only driver, but he has been good at nearly ever track this year. Wallace finished fourth at Las Vegas in March. He also finished fourth at Kansas, fourth in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte and third in the last round of the playoffs at Texas. That is a lot of top-five finishes on the 1.5-mile tracks. Wallace won in the playoffs on the 1.5-mile track at Kansas last year. He is a good bet at 22-1 this weekend.
ALEX BOWMAN (35-1): Bowman is just another Hendrick Motorsports driver who excels at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Bowman finished third at Las Vegas in March (behind William Byron and Kyle Larson) and he won this race last year. His odds are just too good to pass up based on his recent success in Sin City. I will bet a few bucks on Bowman at his best track.
Good luck Sunday!
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