Best Bets for Michigan


The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan this week to race at Michigan International Speedway. This track is a two-mile oval, very similar to Auto Club Speedway. Michigan is a momentum track. The drivers have to keep their foot on the gas as they make their way around this large track. If another driver cuts them off, or if they get off the gas pedal for any reason; they will fall back in the pack. This type of racing sounds unpredictable, but the same drivers continue to win at this track.

The odds have been crap for the last two races. Finally, we get some value on the board this week. I hate when the sportsbooks price a driver at 4-1 or 5-1 odds and those drivers wins the race. There just is not enough “meat on the bone” to bet the drivers at that price. Denny Hamlin is the favorite this week at 7-1 odds. I can work with those kinds of odds. This should be a good race to win some cash.

Three drivers have won 11 of the last 15 races at Michigan. Kevin Harvick has six wins, Joey Logano has three wins and Denny Hamlin has two wins. I will have each of these drivers on my betting card this week.



* The odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds could change between the time of this article and the time you place your bet.

** The first number is the amount of money based on the second number (the amount of the wager). So, if you bet $1 on DENNY HAMLIN at 7-1 odds, you will win $7.



DENNY HAMLIN (7-1): Hamlin has been on fire lately. He won two weeks ago at Pocono, and he finished second last week at Richmond. Now he gets to race at one of his best tracks. Hamlin has not won at Michigan since 2011, but he has been knocking on the door. The No. 11 car finished 3rd, 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in the last five races at Michigan. Hamlin is going to be tough to beat this week if the No. 11 team brings a car to the track as fast as they did at Pocono.


KEVIN HARVICK (8-1): I knew I was going to bet on Harvick before the odds were released. I thought there could be a chance that he would be 5-1 odds this week, so 8-1 sounds pretty good to me. Harvick won this race last year in the Gen-7 car. He has won four of the last five races at Michigan. Harvick leads every stat category at Michigan since 2017. You almost have to have “Happy Harvick” on your betting card this week.


RYAN BLANEY (11-1): The Fords have found some speed over the summer and that brings Blaney into play for the win at Michigan. He is no stranger to Victory Lane at this track. Blaney won at Michigan in 2021 and he finished fifth in this race last year. Blaney also won the last race on a large intermediate track at Charlotte. 11-1 odds seem like a good value for a driver who has been to Victory Lane at Michigan and on an intermediate track recently.


JOEY LOGANO (15-1): The draft came into play last year at Michigan with the Gen-7 car. The drivers did not race as close as they do at Daytona or Talladega, but it is similar to Atlanta. Logano was the best driver at Atlanta this year. The more the draft comes into play, the more I like the No. 22 car. Logano has three wins at Michigan. His last win was in 2019, so not too long ago. Logano finished fourth in this race last year. I will bet he can win the race Sunday.


CHASE ELLIOTT (15-1): This bet was a tough one for me. I do not trust Elliott right now, but he really needs to win one of these last four races before the playoffs start. Michigan was the best track for Elliott, early in his career. He finished 2nd, 2nd and 2nd in his first three races at this track. Can he find that magic again this weekend? I am sure Hendrick Motorsports will give Elliott the best chassis they have in their garage to help ensure he is racing for a championship in 2023.


BRAD KESELOWSKI (25-1): I thought about betting Keselowski to win last week at Richmond, but I didn’t do it. I kicked myself for most of the race as I watch the No. 6 car lead the field. Keselowski did not win, but his organization did. That has to make him more confident heading into the race at his home track. Keselowski once said, “Winning at Michigan would mean as much to me as winning the Daytona 500.” I am sure he told his team to work overtime to ensure his car is ready to race Sunday. I will bet that Keselowski can FINALLY end his 0-25 streak at his home track.


Good luck Sunday!

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