Best Bets for New Hampshire

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The Cup Series will travel to New Hampshire Motor Speedway this week for the U.S. Today 301. The Best Bets hit again last week with Ryan Blaney +750. That makes nine winners in 17 races and puts the best bets over 50% for the season. My goal is to win a lot more than 50%, so I will do my best to win some cash over the summer.

 

DRAFTKINGS ODDS NEW HAMPSHIRE

* The odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds could change between the time of this article and the time you place your bet.

*Shop around. You may be able to get better odds

 

BETTING STRATEGY FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE

There have been five races on the tracks similar to New Hampshire (Phoenix, Richmond, North Wilksboro, Gateway and Iowa). There are a group of drivers who have dominated these races and the sportsbooks priced them all at +750 or under for the race at New Hampshire. I like to spread out my wagers to give me more chances to win, but it is tough to return a profit when the drivers who are likely to win are all priced at +450 or under. I decided to wait until after practice and qualifying to see the updated odds, but it doesn’t look like the odds will change much. The teams only had a four-minute practice session and qualifying was rained out. We are running blind this week, so we will simply have pick a couple of drivers and hope for the best (I know that doesn’t sound like a lot of confidence, so scale back your bank roll this week if you want to be more conservative).

 

BETTING CARD FOR NEW HAMPSHIRE

CHRISTOPHER BELL (+400): Bell has been a beast on the tracks similar to New Hampshire. He had the best driver rating at Phoenix and Gateway, the fifth-best driver rating at Richmond and the sixth-best driver rating at Iowa. He won at New Hampshire in the Gen-7 car in 2022 and he had the Xfinity Series to practice while the others had four-minutes of track time. I hate the odds, but Bell has the best chance to win Sunday.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+400): New Hampshire ranks as the best track for Truex. He has finished eight of his last nine races at the Magic Mile in the top seven. That includes a trip to Victory Lane last year and an average finishing position of fifth over the last decade. There is a chance that the race could get rained out and moved to Monday. That would be fantastic news for “Monday Martin” since he always wins the races on Monday (He will be really good if it is run on Sunday too).

 

 

OTHER OPTION

If you do not want all of your money bet on two Joe Gibbs Racing drivers, you can spread out your picks and add in some Fords. Here are the bets I like if you want to spread out your cash for Sunday’s race…

 

JOEY LOGANO (+650): Logano has been at his best on the shorter, flatter tracks this year. Logano finished second at Richmond, destroyed the field at North Wilksboro, finished fifth at Gateway and sixth last week in Iowa. Logano told PRN radio during the rain delay during practice, “I won my first race here. I saw my first race here when I was six. This track means a lot to me and that is probably why I always run well here. My team really needs a win and this may be our best chance. I like our chances Sunday.” I like them too.

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+1400): Can Keselowski find his way to Victory Lane again Sunday? New Hampshire is one of his best tracks. Keselowski won at the Magic Mile in 2020, finished third in 2021, seventh in 2022 and fifth last year. Keselowski has an average finishing position of 6.25 on the tracks similar to New Hampshire this year. He is a good bet at +1400 Sunday.

JOSH BERRY (+280): The No. 4 car consistently runs up front at New Hampshire. Kevin Harvick finished his last six races at the Magic Mile in the top-six. Can Berry do the same? He led 32 laps and finished seventh on a similar track last week in Iowa. This bet is more on crew chief Rodney Childers because he has been so good at this track. Berry is worth a chance at +2800 at New Hampshire.

 

Good luck Sunday!

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