Daytona 500 Driver Rankings

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The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series will take the green flag Sunday with the 66th Running of “The Great American Race”. It is also the start of what could be one of the most exciting Fantasy NASCAR seasons ever. The field this year is as deep as I have ever seen it. The Cup Series had 15 drivers in Victory Lane last year and 19 drivers in 2022. The Next Gen car has leveled the playing field and allowed for more drivers to win races. We will see if this trend continues in 2024.

The driver rankings for the Daytona 500 are not a prediction of how the drivers will finish in the Great American Race. This race is why too unpredictable to try and figure out the finishing order. Instead, the driver rankings this week are based on the driver’s fantasy value at the track.

The metrics I used to figure out the Driver Rankings include the driver’s career stats at Daytona and their career stats on all Superspeedway tracks. I also used the stats from last year at Daytona and from Talladega in the Gen-7 car. There have been eight races in the Gen-7 car on the true Superspeedway tracks (four at Daytona and four at Talladega). I used this data too. The odds-makers put a lot of work into figuring out who is going to win the Daytona 500, so I used the driver’s odds to win the race as my last metric.

Here are the Driver Rankings for the Daytona 500…

DRIVER
1. JOEY LOGANO
2. BRAD KESELOWSKI
4. MARTIN TRUEX JR.
5. KYLE BUSCH
6. DENNY HAMLIN
7. CHRIS BUESCHER
8. RYAN BLANEY
9. CHASE ELLIOTT
10. BUBBA WALLACE
11. CHRISTOPHER BELL
12. AUSTIN CINDRIC
13. ALEX BOWMAN
14. RICKY STENHOUSE JR.
15. DAVID RAGAN
16. WILLIAM BYRON
17. DANIEL SUAREZ
18. COREY LAJOIE
19. ROSS CHASTAIN
20. MICHAEL MCDOWELL
21. AJ ALLMENDINGER
22. KYLE LARSON
23. ERIK JONES
24. RYAN PREECE
25. JUSTIN HALEY
26. CHASE BRISCOE
27. AUSTIN DILLON
28. TODD GILLILAND
29. ZANE SMITH
30. TY GIBBS
31. TYLER REDDICK
32. JIMMIE JOHNSON
33. HARRISON BURTON
34. JOHN H. NEMECHEK
35. NOAH GRAGSON
36. B.J. MCLEOD
37. JOSH BERRY
38. RILEY HERBST
39. DANIEL HEMRIC
40. CARSON HOCEVAR
41. KAZ GRALA
42. ANTHONY ALFREDO

 

I will include the stats from the Duel Races to the model later this week. Be sure to check back Sunday morning for the updated Driver Rankings.

 

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