DFS Xfinity Series Picks for Sonoma


The Xfinity Series will join the Cup Series at Sonoma Raceway this weekend. This will be the second race in the Northwest and the second consecutive race on a road course for the Xfinity Series. The race at Portland last week was pretty entertaining. The field is stack this week, so I expect another fun race at Sonoma. The Zip Buy Now, Pay Later 250 seen Saturday at 8 p.m. ET on FS1.



The Xfinity Series was the first of the national series to turn some laps on the newly repaved Sonoma Raceway. The teams had a 50-minute practice session Friday before they lined up for qualifying Saturday. The track for the Xfinity Series is 1.99-miles, so the teams did not have a lot of time to make any long runs in practice. Some teams did make some five-lap runs and that is the speed chart I will be focusing on for the picks Saturday. Traffic often skews the single-lap speeds, so we can learn a lot by looking at the average speed over multiple laps.




There have been two road course races in the Xfinity Series this year (COTA and Portland). I am using the stats from those two races and combining it with the stats from the race at Sonoma last year. This should give us an idea of which drivers have been good on the road courses in 2024 and which drivers were good in wine country last year.

Here are the stats from the two races at on the road courses this year (COTA and Portland) and the race last year at Sonoma, sorted by DraftKings Points….




The Xfinity Series raced for the first time Sonoma last year. The race was dominated by Kyle Larson, but won by Aric Almirola. Those two drivers are not here this week, but there are some other talented drivers in the race this week. Shane van Gisbergen has been a beast on the road courses and this is his race to win Saturday. Ty Gibbs and John H. Nemechek will be behind the wheel of the Joe Gibbs racing Toyotas. They will do their best to keep the “Fast Kiwi” out of Victory Lane. We cannot forget about the “Said Heads.” Boris Said will be behind the wheel of the No. 17 car from Hendrick Motorsports. This is the same car that Kyle Larson led 53 of the 79 laps in last year.

There are only 79 laps in the race at Sonoma (158 miles). That means there are 19.75 points available for leading laps and 35.55 points available for fastest laps (55.3 dominator points). The trend on the road courses over the last two years is for two drivers to lead most of the laps. I would expect that trend to continue Saturday at Sonoma.

I will be paying up for the road course aces (Shane van Gisbergen, AJ Allmendinger, Ty Gibbs, Justin Allgaier, Cole Custer, Parker Kligerman, Sam Mayer and John H. Nemechek) this week and pairing them with some value picks (Boris Said, Ed Jones, Sage Karam, Parker Reztlaff, Josh Bilicki, Alex Labbe and Austin Green). Most of my lineups will be built around the drivers listed above.

The drivers with the best chance to score dominator points today includes Shane van Gisbergen, Ty Gibbs, AJ Allmendinger and Justin Allgaier

The drivers with the best chance to score place differential points include Cole Custer, Parker Kligerman, Riley Herbst, Brandon Jones, Boris Said, Josh Bilicki, Austin Green, Preston Pardus and Josh Williams














Good Luck Tonight! 

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