The MENCS will compete at Kentucky Speedway for the Quaker State 400. This will be the seventh race of the season on a 1.5-mile track. These races have been pretty easy to predict since the same drivers continue to run up front the week. The race can be seen Saturday night at 7:30 pm ET on NBC Sports Network.
Each week I use different stats in my model to create the best rankings possible to give you an edge on the completion. This week I used the driver’s rating on 1-5-mile tracks, average finishing position on 1.5-mile, average running position on 1.5-mile tracks, driver ratings at Kentucky, average finishing position at Kentucky and average finishing position in the last 6 races (We want drivers who have momentum).
My early week pick for the pole is Kyle Busch. He won the pole for two races on the 1.5-mile tracks (Atlanta and Charlotte) and he has a series-best 5.3 average starting position in the last four races at Kentucky (including a pole last year). The No. 18 team is very good at unloading with a lot of speed at Kentucky. He is the best pick for the pole according to the stats.
Here are the early week driver rankings for Kentucky…
| Driver |
| 1. Kyle Busch |
| 2. Kevin Harvick |
| 3. Martin Truex Jr. |
| 4. Kyle Larson |
| 5. Kurt Busch |
| 6. Clint Bowyer |
| 7. Joey Logano |
| 8. Brad Keselowski |
| 9. Erik Jones |
| 10. Ryan Blaney |
| 11. Denny Hamlin |
| 12. Aric Almirola |
| 13. Chase Elliott |
| 14. Jamie McMurray |
| 15. Paul Menard |
| 16. Ryan Newman |
| 17. Alex Bowman |
| 18. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19. Jimmie Johnson |
| 20. Darrell Wallace Jr. |
| 21. Daniel Suarez |
| 22. Austin Dillon |
| 23. Kasey Kahne |
| 24. William Byron |
| 25. Chris Buescher |
| 26. Michael McDowell |
| 27. Trevor Bayne |
| 28. David Ragan |
| 29. AJ Allmendinger |
| 30. Ty Dillon |
| 31. Matt Dibendetto |
| 32. Cole Whitt |
| 33. Ross Chastian |
| 34. Landon Cassill |
| 35. Joey Gase |
| 36. Reed Sorenson |
* I will post my final driver rankings after qualifying Friday night.
*Stats from Driveraverages.com and career stats from Racing-Reference.Info…
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