Fantasy Golf Picks for BMW Championship

Facebooktwitter

The PGA Tour will continue the FedEx Playoffs this week with a trip to Olympia Fields Country Club (North Course), just south of Chicago this week. The top-50 from the St. Jude Championship advanced to play this week. That is not only important because these golfers get a chance to compete for the Tour Championship this year, but also because there 50 golfers are locked into the “signature events” (what we used to call elevated events) next year. The field is stack and it should be another fun week to play in a DFS Golf Contest.

The BMW Championship has only been played at Olympia Fields once. That last time it was played at this course was in 2020, when Jon Rahm won the tournament. We do not have much course history to work with this week, but I will be looking at what happened in the 2020 BMW Championship.

Here is the recent form and course history for each golfer this week: BMW History and Form

 

Course Breakdowns

The BMW Championship rotates to different courses each season. Olympia Fields Country Clubs gets to host the event this year. This course is tough. It hosted the BMW Championship in 2020 and the 2003 U.S. Open. Olympia Fields was ranked as one of the 25 toughest courses in the USA by Golf Digest.

Olympia Fields is a par-70 that plays 7,366 yards in length. There are not a lot of hazards on the course, but the Butterfield Creek runs through the course, and it comes into play on many of the holes (especially Hole No. 13). This is a long course that will require the golfers to bomb it off the tee but keep the ball in the fairway. The greens have a mixture of Bentgrass and Poa Grass and that can be tricky. We want golfers who know how to read to greens with Poa Grass this week.

Click here to see the course: Olympia Fields

 

KEY STATS FOR BMW CHAMPIONSHIP

– Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green

– Strokes Gained Approach

– Strokes Gained Putting (POA)

– Par 4 Scoring 450-500 Yards

– Birdie of Better %

 

 

TOP 30 GOLFERS

 

 

STRATEGY FOR THE BMW CHAMPIONSHIP

There is no cut this week or for any of the tournaments in the FedEx Playoffs. That means we know we will get four rounds from each golfers. The field is stacked, since only the top-50 golfers on the PGA Tour are playing the BMW Championship. That means, even the lowest priced golfers are in play this week.

This tournament is very top heavy. It may be hard to win without a couple of the golfers priced over $10K in your lineup. My strategy for both Cash Contests and Tournament Contests this week is to build “stars and scrubs” lineups. Even the cheapest golfers in this field are some of the best golfers in the world. That means you will essentially be building “stars and stars” lineups, even though three of your golfers will be very cheap.

 

CORE GOLFERS FOR BMW CHAMPIONSHIP

* The only reason I am fading Rory McIlroy is because of his priced and I think he will be one of the highest owned golfers. I will take the discount with Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm this week.

 

 

DRAFTKINGS CASH CONTEST

PATRICK CANTLAY ($10,500): I will start my Cash Contest lineup with the golfer who nearly won last week. There is a big difference between TPC Southwind (last week’s course) and Olympia Fields, but we have seen Cantlay heat up in the playoffs and win multiple tournaments before. He has two BMW Championship trophies in his home and I would not be surprised if he won another one Sunday.

VIKTOR HOVLAND ($10,300): Hovland is the next superstar on the PGA Tour. He thrives on hard courses and Olympia Fields is one of the toughest on our country. Hovland won the Memorial, finished second in the PGA Championship, seventh at The Masters and third at THE PLAYERS. His game fits this course well, so I will play Hovland in my Cash Contest lineup.

MAX HOMA ($9,500): I had a hard time deciding if I wanted Hideki Matsuyama, Sungjae Im or Homa in this spot. I like all three golfers this week, but it just seems like Homa is in a tier above Matsuyama and Im. Homa started off the season on fire and then he cooled off. He has his driver dialed in again and now he is dangerous. Homa is one of the best putters on POA Grass, so he should score well this week.

RUSSELL HENLEY ($8,200): Henley is not going to win this week, but he isn’t going to finish outside the top-25 either. Henley is the most accurate driver in the field. His ability to avoid trouble will allow Henley to stay in contention (Par is your friend at Olympia Fields). I like safe golfers for my Cash Contest lineup and it doesn’t get much safer then Henley.

CHRIS KIRK ($6,000): I need two “punt plays” to fill out this “stars and scrubs” lineup. I will start with Kirk. He is a cheaper version of Russell Henley. Kirk is an accurate golfer who should be able to stay out of trouble. He ranks No. 9 in Driving Accuracy and No. 8 in Greens in Regulation. Kirk will not blow up your lineup with a big score and that is all we need for $6K.

PATRICK RODGERS ($5,500): The price for Rodgers is just too good to pass up. I know he is not in the same class of golfer as the rest of the field, but I do not see much difference between Rodgers and the golfers priced $1K more than his price. I am playing Rodgers simply because of his price and the fact that he putts well on POA Grass.

 

 

DRAFTKINGS TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

 SCOTTIE SCHEFFLER ($11,600): If you follow me on Twitter or X or whatever the heck it is called, you probably noticed that I posted I was reducing my ownership of Scheffler last week and moving the shares to Rory McIlroy. Scheffler said in his pre-tournament press conference, “I know I am a lock for East Lake (The Tour Championship), so I am going to work on some stuff this week. I have a new putter and I want to try some new approaches with my short game.” Scheffler needs to enter the Tour Championship in the top-three so that he does not start too far back. I expect his practice to be over and the Scheffler we have seen most of the season to show up at Olympia Fields.  

JON RAHM ($11,200): Rahm could not make a putt to save his life last week. Now he is at a familiar course and his confidence should be high. Ramn won the last tournament at Olympia Fields in 2020. He ranks No. 1 on the PGA Tour on long, difficult courses. I expect a bounce back from Rambo this week and I even picked him to win.

TONY FINAU ($8,300): I doubt many people will be targeting Finau this week, but they should be. Olympia Fields is a long course and that suite Finau’s game perfectly. He is long off the tee and one of the best golfers in the field with a long iron in his hands. He finished fifth at Olympia Fields in 2020. I would not be surprised if Finau finished in the top-five again Sunday.

KEEGAN BRADLEY ($7,100): Bradley is another golfer who plays tough courses well. He is almost the same golfer as Tony Finau but $1K cheaper. Bradley ranks No. 1 in the field in Approach shots from 200-225 yards. That will be important this week. He won the Travelers this year. That course is similar to Olympia Fields. It is tough to predict when Bradley is going to show up and dominate the field. I will take a chance that it will happen this week.

ADAM SVENNSSON ($6,200): I really like Eric Cole this week, but I think everyone else will like him too. For that reason, I will pivot to Svennsson. He has been playing well this year with five consecutive cuts made and a seventh-place finish two weeks ago at the Wyndham Championship. He ranks No. 19 in the key stats because of his ability to hit fairways and greens in regulation. This has been the year of the Canadian golfer, so I will play Svennsson this week.

KURT KITAYAMA ($5,600): I expect a lot of people will dip all the way down and play Patrick Rodgers for $5,500. I will pay $100 more and pivot to Kitayama. The toughest non-major course on the PGA Tour is Bay Hill Country Club. Kitayama won the Arnold Palmer Invitational at that course, so maybe he can find that game this week. This is more of a leverage play than anything else.

Here are my lineups for Multi-Entry Tournament Contest: (Fantasy Racing Tips Lineups)

 

 

FANDUEL CASH CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

FANDUEL TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

PGATOUR.COM FANTASY PICKS

This is the 11th tournament of Segment 4. The final two tournaments are going to have stacked fields. Just play the best golfers you can because there is no guarantee they will be in the field next week.  

 **I will save my last starts with Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy for next week. 

 

 

FANTASY GOLF CHAMPIONSHIP ONE & DONE PICK: HIDEKI MATSUYAMA (BMW CHAMP.)

Players in Fantasy Golf Championship One & Done so far: Sam Burns (52ND), Denny McCarthy (MC), Cameron Young (MC), Dustin Johnson (MC), Matthew Fitzpatrick (MC), Russell Henley (35th), Rickie Fowler (Win), Scottie Scheffler (4TH), Brooks Koepka (17th), Justin Rose (8th), Patrick Cantlay (30TH) (Memorial), Tommy Fleetwood (MC), Jon Rahm (50th), Adam Scott (8th), Viktor Hovland (43rd), Tony Finau (Win), Sungjae Im (7TH), Jordan Spieth (4th), Si Woo Kim (39th), Tyrrell Hatton (60th), Adam Hadwin (MC), Rory McIlroy (MC), Will Zalatoris (53rd), Matt Kuchar (MC), Tony Finau (20), Xander Schauffele (10th), Seamus Power (15th), Max Homa (1st), Brian Harman (MC), and Corey Conners (12th)

 

SEASON LONG ONE & DONE PICK: HIDEKI MATSUYAMA (BMW CHAMP.)

Players Used This Season in One & Done: Sam Burns (52ND), J.T. Posoton (7th), Sepp Straka (MC), Collin Morikawa (MC), Matthew Fitzpatrick (MC), Emiliano Grillo (MC), Rickie Fowler (Win), Scottie Scheffler (4), Dustin Johnson (10th), Justin Rose (8TH), Patrick Cantlay (30TH), Tommy Fleetwood (MC), Brooks Koepka (Win), K-H Lee (50th), Cameron Young (59th), Tony Finau (Win), Keith Mitchell (6th), Tom Kim (MC), Brooks Koepka (2nd), Matt Kuchar (3rd), Wyndham Clark (6th), Adam Hadwin (MC), Rory McIlroy (MC), Will Zallatoris (53rd), Sungjae Im (42nd), Max Homa (2), Xander Schauffele (10th), Jordan Spieth (63rd), Jon Rahm (7th), Taylor Montgomery (5th), Russell Henley (32nd), Seamus Power (25th), Brian Harman (2nd), Maverick McNealy (27th), Emiliano Grillo (42nd), Nick Hardy (28th), Terrell Hatton (13TH) Christian Bezuidenhout (29th), Cameron Davis (37th), Denny McCarthy (39th), Brendon Steele (MC)

 

BEST BETS FOR BMW CHAMPIONSHIP

JON RAHM (10-1)

PATRICK CANTLAY (10-1)

VIKTOR HOVLAND (16-1)

HIDEKI MATSUYAMA (30-1)

SUNGJAE IM (40-1)

 

Good Luck This Week!!!!

Follow me on Twitter @MrFantasyNASCAR