The FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan comes down to who has the most speed. This is the fastest track on the circuit. After looking at the numbers I decided to make a change. Last week I made a last minute change and it worked out perfectly. I think this one will too.
Kyle Larson and Kevin Harvick are my top two choices this week. Harvick won rounds 1 and 2 in qualifying and he was tracking green in round three until he overdrove turn three and got loose. Larson and Harvick should be starting on the front row.
My change this week is from Kyle Busch to Martin Truex Jr. Both have fast cars but this came down to which driver I trust more. Truex has been able to lead laps in every race and when he drives the blue car he usually dominates (I know the color of the car does not add horsepower, but sometimes drivers get more confidence with certain car or paint schemes.) I think Busch is getting frustrated and trying too hard to win a race. Truex has no pressure and can just go out and try to dominate the race. Truex has less risk than Busch this week.
In order to fit Truex on my team I had to switch Landon Cassill for Cole Whitt. I would not have made this change if there were 40 cars in the race and Cassill was starting last. But this week there are only 37 cars and only 3 or 4 spots for Cassill to move up. Whitt should be able to score as many points as Cassill since all cars finishing 36 or worse earn 1 point in Fantasy Live.
I have Chris Buescher at a 75 cent discount. If you want to use my lineup but cannot afford it, switch Buescher to Michael McDowell. I trust McDowell more than I trust Bubba Wallace. I just need to see some results out of Wallace before I feel comfortable using him.
Here are my picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400…
Kyle Larson $27.50 (Starts 7th)
Martin Truex Jr. $28.00 (Starts 2nd)
Kevin Harvick $27.75 (Starts 11th)
Chris Buescher $10.75 (Starts 24th)
Cole Whitt $6.00 (Starts 33rd)
PICK TO WIN: Kyle Larson
Good luck this week!