Fantasy Live Updated Picks

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I updated my model I use for my picks after the news that Martin Truex Jr. will start from the back. The model had Kyle Busch leading 30 laps and Truex leading 30 laps. Now that Truex is going to the back the model suggests that Busch will lead 55 laps. Because of this I am making a change to my team.

My model still likes Brad Keselowski and Kyle Larson the best. Here is how it breaks down…

 

New Fantasy Live Team

Brad Keselowski: 40 points (for finish 1st), 4 PD points, 17 Stage points, 15 Laps led points (30 laps) = 76 points

Kyle Larson: 35 points (for finish 2nd), 4 PD points, 19 Stage Points, 20 laps led points (40 laps) = 78 points

Kyle Busch: 33 points (for finish 4th), -3 PD points, 17 Stage Points, 27.5 laps led points (55 laps) = 74.5 points

Chris Buecher: 10 points (for finish 27th), 2 PD points = 12 points

Landon Cassill: 7 points (for Finish 30th), 4 PD points = 11 points

Total for the team is 251.5 (according to my model)

 

Old Fantasy Live Team

Brad Keselowski: 40 points (for finish 1st), 4 PD points, 17 Stage points, 15 Laps led points (30 laps) = 76 points

Kyle Larson: 35 points (for finish 2nd), 4 PD points, 19 Stage Points, 20 laps led points (40 laps) = 78 points

Kasey Kahne: 24 points (for finish 13th), 13 PD points = 37 points

Dale Earnhardt Jr.: 21 points (for finish 16th), 12 PD points = 33 points

Cole Whitt: 4 points (for finish 33rd), -1 PD point = 3 points

Total for the old team is 227 points

 

So I am using Brad Keselowski, Kyle Larson, Kyle Busch, Chris Buescher, Landon Cassill today.

Race Winner: Brad Keselowski

Manufacturer: Toyota (Just in case Joe Gibbs wins today)