Fantasy NASCAR Preview for Richmond

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The NASCAR Cup Series will join the Truck Series at Richmond Raceway this weekend. The Xfinity Series will travel to Road America for some road course racing. This will be race No. 22 on the 2023 Cup Series schedule. There are only five races left in the regular season and three of the races are on “wild card” tracks (Indy Road Course, Watkins Glen and Daytona). This should be one of the easier races left in the regular season to predict. We need to ensure we post a high score in our Fantasy NASCAR leagues, because anything can happen in the “wild card” races.  Here is the schedule for the weekend…

 

The Cup Series competed at Richmond in April. The race was completely dominated by Hendrick Motorsports. Alex Bowman won the pole and led the first eight laps. He finished eighth. Josh Berry filled in for Chase Elliott in the No. 9 car and he finished second. William Byron dominated most of the race by leading 117 laps. Kyle Larson led 93 laps and went to Victory Lane. Kevin Harvick, Ross Chastain, Brad Keselowski and Christopher Bell also looked good. Each of these drivers scored Stage Points in both Stages and they all finished in the top-10.

You can watch the highlight of the last year’s race at Richmond in the Race Rewind for the Toyota Owners 400

 

STATS FOR SHORT, FLAT TRACKS

There have been five races on the short, flat tracks this season (Phoenix, Richmond, Martinsville, Gateway and New Hampshire). That gives us a lot of data to work with this week. I doubt the speeds from the race at Martinsville will translate into speed at Richmond, but we can look at the other four races to help handicap the Cook Out 400.

I used the data from the races at Phoenix, Gateway and New Hampshire for the key stats this week. I also used the data from the race earlier this season at Richmond and the two races last year in the Gen-7 car at Richmond. This should give us an idea of which teams will unload with some speed Sunday.

Here are the Driver Rankings for the short, flat tracks in 2023 and the races at Richmond in the Gen-7 car...

 

NASCAR STRATEGY

The races at Richmond are usually easy to predict. We need to use our top drivers this week and try to save allocations at the road courses and the Superspeedways. I will build my Driver Group Game lineup from the first race at Richmond and from the results at Gateway and New Hampshire this summer. I am not worried about saving allocations this week in the Driver Group Game. The cream rises to the top at Richmond, so we will need the studs in our lineup.

There are only five races in the Fantasy Live regular season game. We need to use our top drivers this week at Richmond and next week at Michigan. We can get through the two road courses races (Indy Road Course and Watkins Glen) with some road course ringers. We can get through the last race at Daytona by simply using the best drivers we have allocations left. You will see all of the studs in my Fantasy Live lineup Sunday.

Dominators, Dominators, Dominators!!! That is the strategy for DFS Contests this week. The trend at Richmond in the races were the Gen-7 car was used is for one driver to lead 120 laps and score 50 fastest laps (52.5 dominator points). Another driver leads 100 laps and scores 42 fastest laps (43.9 dominator points). We MUST have these two drivers in our lineups and score the 96.4 dominator points they are projected to score. I will be paying up for the drivers who I think will lead the most laps in the DFS contest at Richmond.

 

EARLY WEEK PICKS FOR RICHMOND

ONE & DONE PICK: KYLE LARSON


DRIVER GROUP GAME PICKS:
KYLE LARSON, WILLIAM BYRON, KEVIN HARVICK, KYLE BUSCH, BRAD KESELOWSKI, ALEX BOWMAN, TY GIBBS, RYAN PREECE

 

FANTASY LIVE PICKS: DENNY HAMLIN, MARTIN TRUEX JR., CHRISTOPHER BELL, KYLE LARSON, KEVIN HARVICK (GARAGE) CHASE ELLIOTT

* I will be watching BRAD KESELOWSKI, TYLER REDDICK, JOEY LOGANO and RYAN BLANEY in practice and qualifying. They could end up in the Fantasy Live lineup this week.

** I am out of allocation with WILLIAM BYRON or he would definitely be in all of my lineups.

 

Good luck this weekend!

 

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