Best Bets for Chicago


Are you tired of watching the Cup Series go around in circles? The leadership at NASCAR thinks you are. This week we get to see the Cup Series go racing on the streets of Chicago. The Grant Park 220 will likely be one of the best races of the year, or a complete disaster. The heavy stockcars are not designed to navigate a tight street course, with no run-off areas, if a driver makes a mistake. I am hoping for the best, but expecting the worst this week. We will see how it goes in Chicago.

My article is going to look a bit different this week. This race is a about as predictable right now as a race at Talladega. We do not have any data to work with, so I am going to take a “wait and see approach” with some of my bets.

Tyler Reddick, Kyle Larson, Martin Truex Jr. and Chase Elliott are the favorites at 7-1 odds. I doubt their odds will drop too much after practice or qualifying. Even if they do drop to 5-1, they will still offer about the same value as they do right now. So, I am going to wait until practice is just about over and then bet some money on these drivers if they dominated the speed chart.

There are some drivers I want to be right now, because we can get some good odds with them. If the drivers with longer odds dominate practice, their odds will drop significantly, and we will lose out on all of the value they had before practice.



* The odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds could change between the time of this article and the time you place your bet.

** The first number is the amount of money based on the second number (the amount of the wager). So if you bet $1 on TYLER REDDICK at 7-1 odds, you will win $7.


Here are my bets for Chicago before practice:


AJ ALLMENDINGER (12-1): Allmendinger is one of the drivers I want to bet early in the week. A lot of people will be betting on Allmendinger, so his 12-1 odds will not last long. He could easily be the favorite if he goes on and posts the fast lap times in practice and wins the pole for the race. I do not need to write about how good Allmendinger is on road courses. We just need his car to hold up for 220-miles Sunday.


KYLE BUSCH (14-1): I could not believe the odds on Busch this week. Shop around and see what you can get, but 14-1 is an absolute steal right now. Busch finished second at COTA and second at Sonoma this year. All he has to do is improve by one spot and we will be cashing our ticket. He has not dominated the road course races in 2023, but no driver in the field has a better average finishing position than Busch.


MICHAEL MCDOWELL (20-1): McDowell said on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio, “We are looking forward to the race in Chicago. It is a new track for everyone and that should even the playing field. My team has been working hard on a setup for this track and I put in a lot hours in the simulator to ensure we have a good chance to win this inaugural race. My team knows this is our best chance to punch our ticket to the playoffs and I know it too. I just hope our hard work pays off Sunday.” It sounds like the No. 34 team is all in for this race. McDowell has the talent to get the job done.


CHRIS BUESCHER (20-1): Buescher has not won a race on a road course, yet. He has been the most consistent driver in the Cup Series at these types of tracks. Buescher has an average finishing position of 8.6 in his last 10 road course races. No driver in the field has a top-10 average finishing position, except Buecher. He finished second at Sonoma last year. I will bet he can win the race Sunday.


JOEY LOGANO (28-1): I knew I was going to bet Logano to win this race as soon as NASCAR released the schedule last year. Winning inaugural races in the Cup Series is what Logano is good at. He won the first Dirt Race at Bristol (he had little dirt track experience) and he won the first Clash at the Coliseum race. Can he win the first street course race in Chicago? I think he can. Logano just finished third at Sonoma earlier this month.



I had $40 left to bet and I decided to bet $20 on Martin Truex Jr. at 7-1 (to win $140) and $20 on Tyler Reddick at 20-1 odds (to win $400). The Toyota’s look fast again this week.


Good luck Sunday!

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