Fantasy Live Picks for Dover


The Cup Series will travel to Dover Motor Speedway this week for another intermediate track race. The Cup Series had intermediate track races at Las Vegas and Texas, but Dover is completely different. This high-banked, concrete, one-mile track typically takes rubber fast and produces some decent racing. 2024 has the season of the unexpected, so it is tough to know exactly how the race at Dover will play out. It should be fun to watch though. The Wurth 400 can be seen Sunday at 2 p.m. ET on FS1.

The Fantasy Live picks got off to a red-hot start and now they have had two bad races in a row. I knew we needed a lot of luck last week at Talladega, but I was expecting a better race two weeks ago at Texas. The good news is that the next five races should be easier to predict (Dover, Kansas, Darlington, Charlotte and Gateway). I will do my best to get the picks back on track this week.




The Cup Series is back to their regular schedule this weekend. The teams had 20-minutes to shake down their cars for the Wurth 400. It only takes 23 seconds to turn a lap at Dover, so many of the teams were able to make some long runs in practice. The average green flag run in the Gen-7 car at Dover is 87 laps, so it would be a good idea to select the drivers who were fast on the long runs for our lineups Sunday.

Here are the practice speeds for the Wurth 400





WILLIAM BYRON (6) dominated the last race at Dover. He led 193 laps, won Stage 1, finished 2nd in Stage 2 and finished 4th at Dover last year. He looks fast again this weekend. Byron posted the 3rd fastest speed in practice and qualified 3rd for the race. I will take a chance with the No. 24 car Sunday.

DENNY HAMLIN (6) is off to a good start in 2024. Usually Hamlin waits until late spring to heat up, but he has been good at most of the tracks this season. I expect the No. 11 car to be a threat to win again Sunday. Hamlin won at Dover in 2020 and he finished 5th in this race last year. Hamlin posted the 2nd fastest speed on the long runs in practice and qualified 6th for the race. I will use another allocation with Hamlin at the Monster Mile.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (8) led 68 laps and went to Victory Lane at Dover last year. The No. 19 car looks fast again this week. Truex posted the 4th fastest speed on the long runs in practice. He has finished 5 of the last 7 races at Dover in the top-two. Truex will be tough to beat Sunday.

RYAN BLANEY (5) was really good at Dover last year. He qualified 3rd, finished 3rd in Stage 1, finished 3rd in Stage 2 and Blaney finished 3rd in the race. The No. 12 car looks fast again this weekend. Blaney posted the fastest speed in practice and qualified 2nd for the race. Blaney is just too fast to fade at the Monster Mile.

KYLE BUSCH (8) will be in my Fantasy Live lineup at Dover.  I wasn’t planning on using Busch at Dover, but it is hard to fade the No. 8 car when Busch starts on the pole Sunday. It has been incredibly tough to pass in the Gen-7 car. The combination of track position and the No. 1 pit stall should allow Rowdy to score a lot of Stage Points and finish up front at the Monster Mile.


(GARAGE PICK) ALEX BOWMAN (9) should be a good pick this week. Dover is the best track for Bowman. He finished 5th, 1st and 5th in his last three races at the Monster Mile. He has the track position to run up front, so Bowman should score some Stage points. Dover has been a good track for Hendrick Motorsports, so I will have the No. 48 car in the Garage as an insurance policy at the Monster Mile.


Good luck and be sure to follow me on X (Twitter) @MrFantasyNASCARI will send out a Tweet during the race to let you know if I plan to swap out one of my drivers for my Garage pick.