DFS Xfinity Series Picks for Chicago


The Xfinity Series will join the Cup Series on the street course in Chicago this weekend. The race last year was completely dominated by Cole Custer. He won the pole, won both Stages and led every lap on his way to Victory Lane. Custer will have a lot more competition this week. Shane van Gisbergen will drive No. 97 car for Kaulig Racing, Kyle Larson will drive the No. 17 car for Hendrick Motorsports, Ty Gibbs will drive the No. 19 car for Joe Gibbs Racing, John H. Nemechek will drive the No. 20 car for Joe Gibbs Racing, Daniel Suarez will drive the No. 36 car for DGM Racing and Joey Logano will drive the No. 15 car for AM Racing. There are a lot of good drivers entered this week, so we should see fireworks in Chicago today.



The Xfinity Series had some time to shake down their cars for The Loop 110 Saturday. It was a crazy practice with a lot of cars spinning out. Even Shane van Gisbergen went off the track at one time. We can learn a bit from practice, but I will be using the data from the race last year in Chicago and the road course races in 2024.

Here are the practice speeds for The Loop 100…



One race is not a lot of data to work with. Many of the top drivers in the field today were not in the field at Chicago last year. I will still look at the data from the race last year, but I will also be looking at the data from the road course races at COTA, Portland and Sonoma this year to help handicap The Loop 110

Here are the stats from the race last year in Chicago and the races this year on the road courses, sorted by DraftKings Points….




I know Cole Custer led all of the laps at Chicago last year, but the field is too stacked for that to happen today. I looked at the trends for the road courses this year and there should be two dominators in the race today. The main dominator should lead roughly 28 laps and score 16 fastest laps (14.2 dominator points). The second dominator should lead 18 laps and score 12 fastest laps (9.9 dominator points).

There are only 50 laps scheduled for the race today. There are not enough dominator points to chase, so I will be building a lot of balanced lineups with six drivers who will have a good chance to finish in the top-10 today.

The best strategy for Cash Contests is to focus on the good drivers who start in the back. They have a good chance to score more place differential points than the dominator points that Shane van Gisbergen or Kyle Larson will score.

The drivers with the best chance to score dominator points today includes Shane Van Gisbergen, Kyle Larson, Ty Gibbs and AJ Allmendinger.

The drivers with the best chance to score place differential points include AJ Allmendinger, Justin Allgaier, Joey Logano, Sheldon Creed, Daniel Suarez, Riley Herbst, Sage Karam and Austin Green







* I am treating this lineup almost like a Superspeedway race. If I can get 10-15 place differential points out of Justin Allgaier, Sheldon Creed, Daniel Suarez, Sage Karam and Jeremy Clements and SVG leads the most laps… This lineup will score very well.







* I know John H. Nemechek is going to start from the back. He should be able to make his way through the field with his fast car and pit strategy.


Good Luck This Week! 

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