Best Bets for Daytona 500

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The 2022 NASCAR Cup Season starts Sunday and there are starting to become a shift in the way people watch the sport. Fantasy NASCAR has been around for years, but more people are starting to wager on the races since betting on sports has become legal in so many states. NASCAR isn’t the easiest sports to pick the winner in and Daytona is a total crap-shoot, but it is a lot of fun to watch the races when you have some skin in the game. Just remember to wager for fun and NEVER bet more money then you are able to lose. I will do my best to help you win, but you need a bit of luck in NASCAR wagering since the best drivers can easily be taken out by a stupid move from a competitor.

 

DRAFTKINGS ODDS FOR DAYTONA

* The odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds could change between the time of this article and the time you place your bet.

 

 

STRATEGY FOR DAYTONA

The sportsbooks know that winning the Daytona 500 comes down to a driver being in the right place at the right time and having a bit of luck. That is why we get some longer odds with some of the top drivers. We need to take advantage of this. The longer odds means that we do not need to bet a lot, to win a lot. Diversify your picks this week and bet on many drivers. We can still make a profit because the payout is larger than what it is at the more predictable tracks.

 

BETTING CARD FOR DAYTONA

** I am using a $100 weekly bankroll for my picks this year. The “Best Bets” below are how I recommend wagering this week if you were to bet $100 on each race. You can adjust it to fit your bankroll.

 

BRAD KESELOWSKI (12-1) has never won the Daytona 500, but that could change Sunday. He has been the best driver at Daytona in the Gen-7 car. Keselowski led the most laps in 2022 and he did it again last year. He also finished second in the last race at Daytona (The Coke Zero 400). Keselowski had RFK Racing make a third car for David Ragan, so he will have more help getting to Victory Lane. I will take a chance with Keselowski at 12-1 odds Sunday.

CHASE ELLIOTT (14-1) did not win a race last year. Could he be the first driver to win a point’s race in 2024? I think so. Drivers need to be up front at the end of the race in order to have a chance to win it. Elliott has finished five of his last seven races at Daytona in the top-10. He is going to win one of these Daytona 500’s some day. I want to bet him before he qualifies up front and finishes up front in his Duel Race Thursday night.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. (22-1) is one of my favorite bets Sunday. He has never won the Daytona 500 and his time is running out. Truex came inches away from winning the Daytona 500 in 2016 and he finished second again at Daytona in 2018. Truex has the third-best average running position at Daytona in the Gen-7 car. The Toyota’s have a new car this year. The new Camry XSE has a flatter nose and it should be able to run better in the draft. NASCAR is good at producing stories in the Daytona 500. Truex winning Sunday would be a huge story for the sport.

ERIK JONES (22-1) is another driver I really like this week. Jones fits the profile of drivers who have won recently in the Daytona 500. Michael McDowell, Austin Cindric and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the last three Daytona 500. They are mid-tier drivers in the Cup Series. I would not be surprised if this trend continues and Jones wins Sunday. He won the July race at Daytona in 2018. I will bet he can find Victory Lane again this week.

ROSS CHASTAIN (25-1) always gets overlooked at the Superspeedways, but he shouldn’t. Chastain won in the Gen-7 car at Talladega and Atlanta in 2022. He knows how to use the draft to his advantage and he is not afraid to make a daredevil more to get to the front. Chastain is a boom or bust driver at Daytona. I will bet that he will be smashing a watermelon at the start-finish line Sunday.

COREY LAJOIE (60-1) finished fourth at Talladega last October and 10th at Daytona last August. Could he find his way to Victory Lane Sunday in the Daytona 500? I am willing to find out at 60-1 odds. LaJoie nearly won in the Gen-7 car at Atlanta and he led six laps in the 2022 Daytona 500. He is one of the more underrated drivers in the Cup Series on the Superspeedways. His odds are just too long to pass up Sunday.

JUSTIN HALEY (60-1) won at Daytona in 2019. I know it was a rain-shortened race, but a win is a win. Haley also won two races at Daytona and two races at Talladega in the Xfinity Series. Haley knows how to race on the Superspeedways. Will he have the car to win the race? David Ragan finished eighth and ninth in his two races in the Rick Ware Racing car. The team will have a car prepared by RFK Racing this week. Haley is a great bet at 60-1 odds.

 

Good luck Sunday!

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