Best Bets for Martinsville

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The NASCAR Cup Series will complete the short track portion of the spring schedule when they travel to Martinsville Speedway. The teams will use the new short track aero package this week. So far, it hasn’t changed the racing much. I expect the drivers who have run well at Martinsville in the past to be up front this week. Hopefully it is another entertaining race for the Cup Series. The Cook Out 400 can be seen Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on FS1.

The Best Bets haven’t returned a huge profit since I changed the format, but at least we have been cashing tickets. The picks have had the winning ticket in four of the seven races this year and three races in row. I will continue to post the drivers I like early in the week with longer odds and then update the picks after practice. The updated picks will not be posted until Sunday morning this week.

 

DRAFTKINGS ODDS FOR MARTINSVILLE

* The odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. The odds could change between the time of this article and the time you place your bet.

 

 

BETTING STRATEGY FOR MARTINSVILLE

The Toyota’s have dominated the short tracks this year. Denny Hamlin won the Clash at the Coliseum, the race at Bristol and the race last week at Richmond. Christopher Bell won the race at Phoenix. Martin Turex Jr. and Ty Gibbs have led a lot of laps at the short tracks, but they have not been able to find Victory Lane. I like the Toyota’s again this week, but there really is no need to bet Hamlin right now. His odds will not go down too much, even if he looks fast in practice.

The drivers who have won the four races in the Gen-7 car at Martinsville include Ryan Blaney (last October), Kyle Larson (last April), Christopher Bell (October of 2022) and William Byron (April of 2022). That is one Ford, one Toyota and two Chevy’s in Victory Lane. There have been seven different drivers taking home the Grandfather Clock in the last seven races at Martinsville. Denny Hamlin is not included in that seven, so I would not be surprised if the trend of new winners continues and we see Hamlin in Victory Lane Sunday.

 

 

BETTING CARD FOR MARTINSVILLE

 

JOEY LOGANO (12-1): Can we trust Logano to run up front with a chance to win Sunday? His speed at Richmond last week tells me that the No. 22 team has their short track setup heading in the right direction. Logano finished second last week and he finished second in both spring races in the Gen-7 car at Martinsville. Logano has a win at Martinsville in 2018 and he should have had another win in 2015, but Matt Kenseth decided to clean Logano’s clock. Logano is a good bet at 12-1 this week.

TY GIBBS (13-1): Surprise, surprise… Ty Gibbs is back on my betting card. I am not betting Gibbs just to throw money at his odds and hope it sticks. I have a good reason for betting the No. 54 car this week. The most similar track to Martinsville is the L.A. Coliseum. Gibbs dominated that race. He led 84 laps but was pushed out of the way at the end of the race. Gibbs won the Xfinity Series race at Martinsville in 2022. I will bet he can win the Cup Series race Sunday.

CHASE BRISCOE (22-1): I love the odds for Briscoe right now. Martinsville is one of the best tracks for Briscoe. He led 109 laps and finished fifth in this race last year. Briscoe came back to Martinsville in October and finished fourth. We typically do not get 22-1 odds with a driver who leads over 100 laps and finishes both races in the top-five the previous season at the track. I will take advantage of the odds before Biscoe posts some of the fastest laps in practice and qualifies in the top-10.

BUBBA WALLACE (25-1): I know this will not be a popular pick, but it is hard to ignore the speed the No. 23 car had last week at Richmond and the speed Wallace has had in the Gen-7 car at Martinsville. Wallace finished 11th, 9th and 8th in his last three races at Martinsville. He also has a win in the Truck Series at Martinsville, if that means anything to you. The real reason why I am betting Wallace is because it gives me another Toyota on my betting card and I get him at 25-1 odds.

 

* I will add a few more bets after qualifying this weekend.

 

Good luck Sunday!

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