DFS Xfinity Series Picks for Kansas

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The Xfinity Series will join the Cup Series and Truck Series at Kansas Speedway this weekend. The Cup Series and Truck Series will be competing in playoff races at Kansas but the Xfinity Series still has two races left in their regular season (Kansas and Bristol). There is still some time for a driver to win a race and secure a spot in the Xfinity Series playoffs. It should be fun to watch. The Kansas Lottery 300 can be seen Saturday at 3 p.m. ET on USA Network.

 

XFINITY SERIES PRACTICE AT KANSAS

The Xfinity Series had their regular practice schedule Friday at Kansas. The Xfinity Series had 20 minutes to dial in their cars and then the teams lined up for qualifying. Many of the cars made some long-runs in the practice session since Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile intermediate track.

Here are the lap times from the practice Friday at Kansas…

 

 

AVERAGE DFS POINTS ON INTERMEDIATES

Kansas is a 1.5-mile, tri-oval track with progressive banking. The track wears out tires quicker than some of the other tracks on the schedule. The best way to handicap this race is to look at the results this year on similar tracks. These tracks include the races at Las Vegas, Charlotte, Texas and Michigan. Darlington is a completely different shaped and sized track, but “The Track Too Tough to Tame” does have high tire-wear and it will factor into momentum, so I will look at the race at Darlington too. I also added in the data from the race at Kansas last year so we have track history factored into the model.

Here are the average DFS points on the large intermediate tracks…

 

 

STRATEGY FOR KANSAS

The race at the Kansas is scheduled for 200 laps (300 miles). That means there are 50 points available for laps led and 90 points available for fastest laps (140dominator points).

The trend at Kansas is for one driver to lead roughly 130 laps and score 66 fastest laps (62.2 dominator points). A second driver leads roughly 50 laps and scores 30 fastest laps (26 dominator points). The trend suggests this will be a two dominator race and we need to have these two drivers in our lineup.

My strategy Saturday will be to pay up for the drivers I think can lead the most laps. You will likely reach the pay-line in every contest if you have the top-two dominators and they score your team 88.2 bonus points for dominating the race.

Something to keep in mind is that this race is scheduled to start at 2 p.m. local time and the rain is expected around 4 p.m. This could be a short race, so playing the drivers who start up front is also a good idea.

Here are my top dominators for Saturday’s race: Brandon Jones,  Ty Gibbs, Noah Gragson and Sheldon Creed.

 

DRIVER RANKINGS FOR KANSAS

 

CORE DRIVERS FOR KANSAS

TOP-TIER DRIVERSNoah Gragson ($11,000), Justin Allgaier ($10,800), Ty Gibbs ($10,600), AJ Allmendinger ($10,300), Ross Chastain ($9,900), Austin Hill ($9,700), Brandon Jones ($9,500), Sam Mayer ($9,300)

VALUE DRIVERSSammy Smith ($8,900), Sheldon Creed ($8,600), Riley Herbst ($8,200), Anthony Alfredo ($7,600), Derek Griffith ($7,400), Brett Moffitt ($7,100), Jeb Burton ($7,000), Rajah Caruth ($6,800), Stefan Parsons ($6,200)

PUNT PLAYSKris Wright ($5,300), C.J. McLaughlin ($5,200), Garrett Smithley ($5,100), Howie Disavino III ($4,900)

 

 

DRAFTKINGS CASH CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

DRAFTKINGS TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

Good Luck Saturday!

 

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