Xfinity Series Fantasy Picks for Kansas

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The Xfinity Series will travel to Kansas Speedway this week for the Kansas Lottery 300. The Cup Series and Truck Series competed at Kansas in May, but this will be the first race for the Xfinity Series at the track. It is also that last race before the Xfinity Series playoffs begin next week at Bristol Motor Speedway. That means the race Saturday does not allow the Cup Series regulars to compete. It should be fun to see the Xfinity Series drivers compete for their playoff spots in the Heartland. The Kansas Lottery 300 can be seen Saturday at 3 p.m. ET on NBC.

 

PRACTICE AT KANSAS

The Xfinity Series had a short practice session to shake down their trucks for the race Saturday. Kansas is a progressively banked track which wears out tires over a long run. We can learn a bit by looking at the single-lap and 10-lap average speeds for the Kansas Lottery 300.

Here are the lap times from the practice Saturday’s practice at the Kansas Speedway…

 

 

AVERAGE DFS POINTS ON SIMILAR TRACKS

Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile, tri-oval track. This track allows the drivers to race at the bottom, the middle and at the top of the track. Usually the drivers end up near the wall at the end of a fuel run. I used the data from the races at Las Vegas, Charlotte and Michigan to help handicap the Kansas Lottery 300. I also added in the data from the race last week at Darlington, just to add momentum into the model. The drivers who ran well in those races should be up front Saturday.

Here are the average DFS Points from the races on similar tracks to Kansas this year …

 

 

STRATEGY FOR KANSAS

The race Saturday is scheduled for 200 laps. The trend in the Xfinity Series races at Kansas is for one driver to lead roughly 80 laps and score 32 fastest laps (34.4 dominator points). Another driver leads roughly 60 laps and scores 30 fastest laps (29.85 dominator points) and a third driver leads 50 laps and scores 20 fastest laps (21.5 dominator points). I will pay up for the drivers who I think can lead the most laps Saturday so the lineup can score the 86 dominator points that these three drivers are expected to score.

The drivers with the best chance to lead laps and score dominator points include Justin Allgaier, John H. Nemechek, Cole Custer and Brandon Jones

The drivers with the best chance to score place differential points include John H. Nemechek, Sheldon Creed, Kaz Grala, Anthony Alfredo, Parker Retzlaff, Kyle Sieg, Maason Massey, Breenan Poole, Matt Mills and Joey Gase

 

 

DRIVER RANKINGS FOR KANSAS

 

 

CORE DRIVERS FOR KANSAS

TOP-TIER DRIVERSJOHN H. NEMECHEK ($11,000), JUSTIN ALLAGAIER ($10,800), AUSTIN HILL ($10,500), COLE CUSTER ($10,300),  SAMMY SMITH ($9,600),  SHELDON CREED ($9,200),  BRANDON JONES ($9,000)

VALUE-TIER DRIVERSRILEY HERBST ($8,800), DANIEL HEMRIC ($8,600), PARKER KLIGERMAN ($8,400), DEREK KRAUS ($8,200),  JOE GRAF JR. ($7,700), PARKER RETZLAFF ($7,500), JEB BURTON ($7,300), KAZ GRALA ($7,200),  CONNOR MOSACK ($6,800), RAJAH CARUTH ($6,600), ANTHONY ALFREDO ($6,400), KYLE SIEG ($6,200)

PUNT PLAYS: BRENNAN POOLE ($5,900), JOSH WILLIAMS ($5,500),MASSON MASSEY ($5,300),BLAINE PERKINS ($5,000),  MATT MILLS ($4,600)

 

 

DRAFTKINGS CASH CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

DRAFTKINGS TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

  • I know the lineups are similar, but I really like Justin Allgaier and John H. Nemechek to battle for the win. Parker Retzlaff and Anthony Alfredo have a good chance to score a lot of place differential points.

 

 

DRIVER GROUP GAME PICKS

 

Good Luck Today!

 

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