DFS Xfinity Series Picks for Las Vegas

Facebooktwitter

The Xfinity Series will join the Cup Series and the Truck Series at Las Vegas Motor Speedway this weekend. The Xfinity Series will have the stage to themselves Saturday since the Truckers race Friday night and the Cup Series races Sunday. “The Series Where Names Are Made” typically puts on a pretty good show at the 1.5-mile tracks. I expect the same Saturday afternoon. The Luna Xfinity Series Race can be seen Saturday at 5 p.m. ET on FS1.

 

PRACTICE AND QUALIFYING AT LAS VEGAS

The Xfinity Series will be back to a normal schedule this week. The teams got 20-minutes to shake down their cars in Friday’s practice. This is not a lot of time to dial in their cars for Saturday’s race, but it is better than last week when the Xfinity Series did not have any practice. Some of the teams were able to make some long runs in practice. We can learn a lot by looking at the practice speeds for the Luna Xfinity Series Race.

Here are the speeds from Friday’s practice at Las Vegas Motor Speedway…

 

The cars lineup up for qualifying after practice was completed. The cars made a qualifying lap to set the field for Saturday’s race and then they were impounded in the garage. The speeds from Friday’s practice should be close to the speeds the drivers will start the race with Saturday.

 

 

DRAFTKINGS POINTS ON LAS VEGAS (2022 – 2023)

Las Vegas Motor Speedway is a tough track. There are bumps in turn one which the drivers will have to navigate or the crew chief will have to set the car up for so the drives can run the bottom of the track over the bumps without losing speed in the car. The wind is also a factor at Las Vegas. Drivers must learn where to enter the corners because the wind has a habit of pushing the cars into the wall at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Some drivers are better at this track than others. Here are the stats from the last four races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway sorted by DraftKings Points….

 

 

STRATEGY FOR LAS VEGAS

The race Saturday is scheduled for 200 laps (300 miles). That means there are 50 points available for leading laps and 90 points available for fastest laps. The trend in this race is to have one driver lead 96 laps and scores 60 fastest laps (51 dominator points), another driver leads 68 laps and scores 28 fastest laps (29.6 dominator points) and a third driver leads 26 laps and scores 18 fastest laps (14.6 dominator points). That is 95 bonus points for leading laps. We must pay up this week for the three drivers who we think can lead the most laps and score the most fastest laps. We will not cash many lineups without these drivers on our team.

The drivers with the best chance to score dominator points today includes Cole Custer, Chandler Smith, A.J. Almendinger and Aric Almirola

The drivers with the best chance to score place differential points include Justin Algaier, Aric Almirola, John H. Nemechek, Anthony Alfredo, Shane Van Gisbergen and Nick Lietz

 

DRIVER RANKINGS FOR LAS VEGAS

 

 

DRAFTKINGS CASH CONTEST LINEUP

COLE CUSTER ($10,500): Custer starts on the pole so he should have a good chance to lead a lot of laps Saturday. Custer posted the second-fastest speed with the second-fastest long-run speed in practice. The No. 00 car should be one of the top dominators in Las Vegas.

JUSTIN ALLGAIER ($10,700): Allgaier had the fastest car on the long-runs in practice. He would have qualified in the top-five, but he had a flat tire on his qualifying lap. Now Allgaier will start 36th. He is a lock for all lineups Saturday.

ARIC ALMIROLA ($9,300): It took a while for Almirola’s car to get speed in practice, but he was one of the fastest drivers when practice ended. Almirola starts 10th so he has a good chance to score place differential points and dominator points Saturday.

ANTONY ALFREDO ($7,000): Alfredo had a flat tire in practice and he destroyed his car. The team will go to a backup and start 37th. His average finishing position in his last four races at Las Vegas is 20th and his average finishing position in his last 10 races on 1.5-mile tracks is 22nd. He should score 18-20 place differential points and be one of the best drivers for your DraftKings lineup.

JEB BURTON ($7,200): Burton did not set the track on fire in practice, but he should be a safe pick from the 21st starting position. His average finishing position in his last four races at Las Vegas is 16th and his average finishing position in his last 10 races on the 1.5-mile tracks is 17th. He should move up a few spots Saturday.

JOEY GASE ($5,200): Gase is my “punt play” for the Cash Contest lineup. His qualifying lap was disqualified because of a brace violation. Gase will start dead last so he cannot score negative points. He finished 32nd in the last race at Las Vegas. He should move up a few position and not kill the lineup.

 

 

DRAFTKINGS TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

JUSTIN ALLGAIER ($10,700): I know Allgaier is going to be the highest-owned driver in the field, but he has about a 70% chance of being the highest scoring driver. I will “eat the chalk” and play Allgaier.

CHANDLER SMITH ($10,300): Smith is my pick to win this week. He won a Truck Series race at Las Vegas and he finished third and fourth in the two Xfinity Series races at the track last year. Smith posted the sixth-fastest speed in practice with the fourth-fastest long-run speed. Smith is going to be tough to beat Saturday.

A.J. ALLMENDINGER ($9,700): Cole Custer is going to be the highest-owned dominator in the race, so I will pivot to Allmendinger. He posted the seventh-fastest speed in practice, but Allmendinger said his car is set-up to drive well. I will take my chances with Allmendinger Saturday.

ANTHONY ALFREDO ($7,000): I just cannot fade “Fast Pasta” from the 37th starting position. He has a real good chance to score over 45 DK Points in this race.  

KYLE WEATHERMAN ($6,500): It is going to be so windy Saturday that we are going to need a Weatherman in our lineup… LOL. All jokes aside, Weatherman is one of the more underrated drivers in the Xfinity Series.  He finished 16th in this race last year. I think he can do it again this week.

KYLE SIEG ($5,700): Sieg is always a good pick when he starts outside the top-25. He starts 27th and his average finishing position in his last 10 races on the 1.5-mile tracks is 20th. Sieg finished 18th and 20th in the two races at Las Vegas last year. He is a good, cheap play Saturday.

 

 

DRIVER GROUP GAME PICKS

The Driver Group Game added the Xfinity Series to their list of games in 2023. It is easy to play. You simply select one driver from Group A, two drivers from Group B and one driver from Group C for your lineup. You can only use the drivers nine times throughout the season, so you have to use your allocations wisely.

Here are the drivers I will use for the Luna Xfinity Series Race

 

Good Luck This Week! 

Follow me on X (Twitter) @MrFantasyNASCAR