Fantasy Golf Picks for the U.S. Open

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The PGA Tour will tee it up in their third major of the 2024 season when they travel to the Village of Pinehust in North Carolina (NASCAR Country). My favorite major ever was the 1999 U.S. Open played at Pinehurst. I was a big Payne Stewart fan. I was all dressed up in his USA color knickers and sank a 54-foot put to beat Phil Mickelson. Four months later Stewart died in a plane crash. Google “Payne Stewart” if you are too young to know him. He was the best on the PGA Tour before Tiger arrived. Hopefully we get the same kind of drama this week.

 

COURSE BREAKDOWN

The U.S. Open will be played at Pinehurst No. 2 for the fourth time since 1999. The course will be a par-70, that will play 7,562 yards in length this week. That is really long for a par-70 car and you can bet that the rough is going to be thick and deep.

The fairways are wide, but there are bunkers strategically placed to force the golfers to shaped their tee shots to avoid trouble. The golfers are going to need to be long and accurate off the tee this week.

The approach shots are going to be very difficult this week and they will decide who will win the 2024 U.S. Open. The greens are crowned and there is roll-off in every direction. Johnny Miller famously said during the 2014 U.S. Open at Pinehurst, “landing your ball on these greens is like trying to land it on the hood of a Volkswagen Beetle.

We are looking for golfers who are good with their putter from a long distance. The golf balls are going to roll off the green, so the golfers are going to have many 50+ yard putts this week. The golfers who can lag it to the hole and tap in for par will score well at Pinehurst.

Click here to see the course: Pinehurst Country Club

 

 

U.S. OPEN KEY STATS

– Total Driving (Distance + Accuracy)

– Stroke Gained Approach

– Proximity on Approach (How Close to the Hole)

– Scrambling

– Bogey Avoidance

Here is the recent form and course history for each golfer this week: History and Form

 

 

TOP 30 GOLFERS

 

 

CORE GOLFERS FOR U.S. OPEN

 

 

U.S. OPEN STRATEGY

Every year I try and get cute and play the golfers with “upside” or the golfers who will have low ownership. I ask myself after the tournament, “Why didn’t you just play the golfers who you knew would play well?” Well, that is what I am doing this week. I am loading up on the golfers who are in good form, hit fairways and greens consistently and can scramble.

I am loading up my lineups with Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Ludvig Arberg and Collin Morikawa. These are the four best ball-strikers on the PGA Tour, they are all in excellent form and they have been really good in the majors. I do not care what their ownership is and I am not pivoting to players like Bryson DeChambeau or Viktor Hovland to try and be cute. I will eat the chalk with the four listed above and try to be contrarian with my other golfers.

The $6K price range is stacked with good golfers. I will be pairing Scottie Scheffler, Xander Shauffele, Ludvid Arberg and Collin Moriaka with some sort of combination of Brian Harman, Alex Noren, Russell Henley, Keegan Bradley, Dean Burmester, Billy Horschel, Sepp Straka, Christian Bezuidenhout and Mackenzie Hughes I will also sprinkle in some shares of Matthew Fitzpatrick and Hideki Matsuyama from the $8K range and Terrell Hatton, Tom Kim, Sam Burns and Sungjae Im from the $7K price range.

 

DRAFTKINGS CASH CONTEST

SCOTTIE SCHEFFLER ($13,000): It is OK to make mistakes as long as you learn from them. I played Scheffler in 35% of my lineups last week and that was a mistake. I am flipping it this week and using Scheffler in 70% of my lineups and that includes my Cash Contests lineup. I never thought I would see a day when a golfer played as well a Tiger Woods in his prime, but we are getting close to that form with Scheffler.

LUDVIG ARBERG ($9,600): Pairing Scheffler with Arberg in my Cash Contest lineups gives me two of the top ball-strikers in the field and two of the golfers in the best form. The only concern I had with Arberg was his knee. He proved last week that his knee will not be an issue. Arberg finished fifth last week in the signature event at the Memorial and he finished second in his first major at the Masters. He has a good chance to win Sunday if aliens kidnap Scottie Scheffler.

COREY CONNERS ($7,200): The golfer I have used the most in my Cash Contest lineups this year is Conners. I am not fading him in a tournament where accuracy is everything. Conners ranks No. 7 in SG Tee-to-Green, No. 2 in SG Approach, No. 4 in Fairways Gained (How often he hits the fairways compared to the field) and No. 10 overall in the key stats. Conners has not missed a cut all season (15/15). He is gaining five strokes tee-to-green in his last five starts. That is just too good to pass up this week.

RUSSELL HENLEY ($6,900): Henley is another golfer who I have used a lot in Cash Contests this year. Keeping the ball in the fairway is going to be important this week. Henley ranks No. 3 in Fairways Gained. He also ranks No. 13 in SG Apporach, No. 18 in Scrambling and No. 14 overall in the key stats. Henley is the No. 16th ranked player in the world and we get him for $6,900. I will take it.

DEAN BURMESTER ($6,800): There is a lot of talk about Brooks Koepka, Bryson DeChambeau and Cam Smith this week, but Burmester has been the most consistent golfer on the LIV Tour and arguably the best. His worst finish on the LIV Tour in 12th. Can he play with the best golfers on the PGA Tour? Burmester finished 12th at the PGA Championship last month. He should finish in the top-15 this week.

SEPP STRAKA ($6,500): Welcome to “Sepp Straka Chalk Week.” Straka is the most miss-priced golfer in the field. All Straka has done over the last two months is finish 5th at the Memorial, 5th at the Charles Schwab, 8th at the Wells Fargo and 5th at the RBC Heritage. Straka ranks No. 12 in SG Tee-to-Green, No. 7 in SG Approach, No. 5 in Fairways Gained and No. 15 overall in the key stats. Straka is going to be a popular pick this week, but it doesn’t matter as much in Cash Contest lineups.

 

 

DRAFTKINGS TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

XANDER SCHAUFFELE ($11,500): If you want a Tournament Contest lineup with Scottie Scheffler, there are plenty to choose from in the Multi-Entry Lineups attachment. I will fade Scheffler and go with a more balanced lineup. Schauffele ranks No. 2 to Scheffler in almost every stat category. He finally broke through and won his first major last week. Can he do it again? Schauffele has been the most consistent golfer in the majors over the last three years. If he doesn’t win, he should finish in the top-five.

COLLIN MORIKAWA ($9,400): Morikawa is playing some of the best golf of his career right now. He almost chased down Scottie Scheffler to win the Memorial last week. He has a good chance to be competing with Scheffler at the top of the leaderboard Sunday. Morikawa ranks No. 5 in SG Tee-to-Green, No. 7 in SG Approach, No. 2 in Fairways Gained, No. 13 in Scrambling and No. 2 overall in the key stats. I need two really good golfers to compete with Scheffler. I have it with Schauffele and Morikawa.

MATTHEW FITZPATRICK ($8,200): I listed to the “Hitting the Greens” show in SiriusXM Golf Channel. They had a panel of PGA Media picking their golfers for the U.S. Open. All four agreed that Fitzpatrick has a great chance to win Sunday. Jason Sobel from SiuxXM and BetMGM said, “The U.S. Open at Pinehurst is going to be one of the most strategic tournaments in recent history. The golfer who is the strategical mastermind for Team Europe in the Ryder Cup is Eduardo Molinari. Fitzpatrick played two practice rounds with Molinari this week. They did not play together to shoot the shit. Fitzpatrick is using Molinari to gain the knowledge to attack this course. Fitz used the same strategy to win the U.S. Open in 2022. We will see how it works out this week, but I like his chances.”$8,200 is a good price for the golfer ranked 16th in the World Golf Rankings.

HIDEKI MATSUYAMA ($8,000): All I need this week is for Matsuyama to tee it up Thursday on the first tee. That may not sound like a lot to ask for, but Matsuyama has become the withdrawal king. When he does play, he is one of the best golfers in the field. Matsuyama finished 38th at the Masters, 35th at the PGA Championship and 5th last week at the Memorial. His game is trending up as he is getting healthier. Keep an eye on this pick. We may have to pivot to Terrell Hatton is Matsuyama doesn’t show up for his tee time Thursday.

SUNGJAE IM ($7,100): Sungjae has always been known as one of the elite ball-strikers on the PGA Tour. He lost his game earlier this season, but he is starting to get it back. Sungjae finished 8th last week at the Memorial, 9th two weeks ago at the Charles Schwab, 4th at the Wells Fargo and 12th at the RBC Heritage. Sungjae would be priced around $8K if his form wasn’t poor at the beginning of the season. I will take the discount with the South Korean.

NICK DUNLAP ($5,800): Can I get anything from Dunlap this week? If he plays well, this lineup has a chance to win a lot of cash. He won the U.S. Amateur last year and he won the American Express Championship on the PGA Tour earlier this season. Dunlap has played in two signature events. He finished 24th at the Wells Fargo and 12th last week at the Memorial. I was surprised to see that Dunlap ranked 42nd in the key stats this week. All I need him to do is make the cut. I think he can do it.

 

Here are my lineups for Multi-Entry Tournament Contest: (Multi Entry Lineups)

 

FANDUEL CASH CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

FANDUEL TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

PGATOUR.COM FANTASY PICKS

This is the second tournament in Segment 3. This is the toughest segment to navigate. We had the signature vent at the Memorial, and now we have the U.S. Open, another signature event at the Travelers Championship, the Open Championship and the three FedEx Playoff events. The Top golfers in the world will be playing a lot over the summer, so we need to save some of our top golfers for the playoffs.  

* This is a good week to take a chance with some of the LIV Tour golfers since they are not available in the PGA Tour events.  

 

 

FANTASY GOLF CHAMPIONSHIP ONE & DONE PICK:  XANDER SCHAUFFELE (U.S. OPEN)

Players in Fantasy Golf Championship One & Done so far: Viktor Hovland (15th), Rory McIlroy (4th), Colin Morikawa (3rd), Books Koepka (26th), Wyndham Clark (47th), Tom Hoge (41st), Matthew Fitzpatrick (28th), Jon Rahm (45th), Hideki Matsuyama (7th), Will Zalatoris (74th), Maverick McNealy (45th), Justin Thomas (MC), Scottie Scheffler (Won), Russell Henley (41st), Tony Finau (13TH), Sahith Theegala (37th), Sam Burns (3rd), Max Homa (66th), Jason Day (MC), Taylor Montgomery (61st), Corey Conners (57th)

 

SEASON-LONG ONE & DONE PICK:  HIDEKI MATSUYAMA (U.S. OPEN)

One & Done picks used so far this season: Byeong Hun An (22nd), Rory McIlroy (4th), Colin Morikawa (3rd), Bryson DeChambeau (2nd), Max Homa (8th), K.H. Lee (59th), Adam Hadwin (10TH), Patrick Cantlay (3rd), Jon Rahm (45th), Corey Conners (25th), Keith Mitchell (MC), Sam Burns (MC), Shane Lowry (19th), Matthew Fitzpatrick (MC), Eric Cole (MC), Nicolai Hojgaard (52nd), Adam Scott (19th), J.T. Poston (MC), Jordan Spieth (39th), Keegan Bradley (43rd), Andrew Putnam (47th), Russell Henley (4th), Sungae Im (5th), Alex Noran (Won), Beau Hossler (15TH), Min Woo Lee (6th), Adam Schenk (MC), Eric Cole (35TH), Sahith Theegala (Won)

 

 

U.S. OPEN BEST BETS

XANDER SCHAUFFELE (12-1)

COLLIN MORIKAWA (14-1)

LUDVIG ARBERG (22-1)

HIDEKI MATSUYAMA (40-1)

MATTHEW FITZPATRICK (40-1)

 

Good Luck This Week!!!!

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