Fantasy Golf Picks the Masters

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It is Masters Week!!! This is the best week for fantasy golf the entire season. Augusta National Golf Club is the most pristine course on the planet and the field this week consists of the best golfers in the world. There will be a lot of people who usually do not play DFS Golf throwing money at this tournament. Hopefully we can take advantage of their inexperience and win some cash Sunday.

The Masters will be the first tournament in 2024 with the LIV Tour and PGA Tour golfers. We cannot ignore the LIV Tour golfers this week. Some of their players have good course history at Augusta National and we would be fools to fade them just out of spite. Jon Rahm won the Masters last year, Brooks Koepka and Phil Mickelson finished second and Patrick Reed finished fourth. We might finally get to see a leaderboard with names we recognize at the top this week.

 

COURSE BREAKDOWN

Augusta National Golf Club is the No. 1 sports venue on my bucket list. The course is absolutely beautiful. There is not a blade of grass out of place, a flower out of bloom and the sand looks like it is straight from the best Caribbean. Augusta plays 7,510 yards this week. The 11th, 15th and 18th holes have been lengthened but some of the rough was taken out. This will make the course tougher and it will favor the bombers a bit more than it has in the past. This course ranked second-toughest on tour since 2013.

Click here to see the course: Augusta National Golf Club

* Click on each hole to see a drone flyover of the hole. Augusta National Hole by Hole

 

KEY STATS FOR THE MASTERS

– Driving Distance

– Stroke Gained Approach

– Scrambling

– Bogie Avoidance

– Strokes Gained Putting (Fast Greens)

 

Here is the recent form and course history for each golfer this week: History and Form

 

 

TOP 30 GOLFER RANKINGS

 

 

CORE GOLFERS FOR THE MASTERS

 

 

THE MASTERS STRATEGY

There will only be 88 golfers in the field this week for the Masters (there could be a few WD before the first tee-shot is hit Thursday). The field will get cut down to the top-50 golfers after the final rounds Friday. The 10 shots of the leader rule are not longer in play. That means at least 57% of the field will play all four rounds. We can eliminate the Senior Tour from the list: Fred Couples, Mike Weir, Vijay Singh and Jose Maria Olazabal. This means roughly 50 out of 84 golfers left on the list will make the cut Friday (60%). You MUST have 6/6 golfers in your lineup this week if you want to win some cash.

The cream rises to the top at the Masters. Seldom do we see golfers priced below the $7K range at the top of the leaderboard. The best approach has been to build balanced lineups (Golfers between mid-$9K – mid-$7K price ranges) or taking one golfer above $10K and filling out the lineup with golfers from the $7K and above range. There are some decent value picks in the $6K range this week, but do not use too many of these golfers in your lineups.

I am not making this tournament harder than it needs to be. The golfers who rank high in Distance Off the Tee and Scrambling, have good Course History and enter the tournament with good Recent Form are the golfers who will be at the top of the leaderboard. It has been this way for 10 years and it will be the same Sunday. I am staying away from the golfers who are making their first trip to Augusta National. I want golfers who know where to place their tee-shots and how to read these greens.

Ron Klos (@PGASplits101) from Betsperts Golf posted that the last 12 winners of the Masters have all gained at least 4 shots on the field in their last four tournaments played. If that trend continues, the winner this week will come from this list of golfers…

 

Also, from PGA Analytics… The last six winners of the Masters have all

– Ranked in the top-50 in SG Approach and Scrambling

– Were in the top-15 in one of the last two majors

– Ranked in the top-30 in the World Golf Rankings

– Had a top-25 finish in the Masters before

– Had a top-five finish this year

– Had a top-five finish in a major in their career

– Were not the defending champion.

The three golfers who check each of these boxes are Scottie Scheffler, Xander Shauffele and Hideki Matsuyama.

 

 

DRAFTKINGS CASH CONTEST

XANDER SCHAUFFELE ($9,900):  Is Schauffele the best golfer to never win a major? I think so. I am not sure he will win this week, but we do not need Schauffele to win for our Cash Contests lineups to score well. Schauffele ranks No. 4 in SG Tee-to-Green, No. 4 in SG Approach, No. 5 in Scrambling and No. 3 overall in the key stats. He finished in the top-10 in three of his last five trips to Augusta National. Schauffele is a good golfer to start your Cash Contest lineups with this week.

HIDEKI MATSUYAMA ($9,000): I really like Matsuyama a lot this week. He is arguably the second-best golfer on the PGA Tour right now, behind Scottie Scheffler. His course history is outstanding. Matsuyama has finished in the top-16 in eight of his last 9 Masters. That includes a win in 2021. Matsuyama has never entered the Masters playing as well as he is now. I like Matsuyama’s chances of winning Sunday.

TONY FINAU ($8,600): Finau is the perfect golfer for Cash Contest lineups this week. His price is reasonable, the stats are good and the course history is very good. Finau ranks No. 15 in SG Tee-to-Green, No. 14 in SG Approach, No. 10 in Scrambling, No. 9 in Bogie Avoidance and No. 11 overall in the key stats. Finau has finished three of his last five Masters in the top-10. He is a safe golfer with upside this week.

SHANE LOWRY ($8,000): Lowry really popped when I did my research for this year’s Masters. Lowry ranks No. 5 in SG Tee-to-Green, No. 4 in SG Approach, No. 5 in Bogie Avoidance and No. 8 overall in the key stats. His recent form is really good and he has finished his last four Masters in the top-25. That includes a third-place finish in 2022. Lowry is playing too good right now to fade.

PATRICK REED ($7,400): “Hate the player, not the game” is what many people say. Well, I hate Patrick Reed, but I love his game at Augusta National. He finished 4th, 35th, 8th, 10th, 36th and 1st in his last six Masters. It really does not matter what his form is or what the stats are for Reed. He is just a golfer who plays this course well. Reed will do it again this week.

SI WOO KIM ($7,100): The most under priced golfer on DraftKings is Si Woo Kim. He has everything this week to be near the top of the leaderboard. Kim has made 14 cuts in a row on The PGA Tour, with a sixth-place finish at THE PLAYERS. Kim ranks No. 6 in SG Tee-to-Green, No. 13 in SG Approach, No. 16 in Scrambling, No. 10 in Bogie Avoidance and No. 12 overall in the key stats. Kim has made six cuts in a row at the Masters and has never entered the tournament as hot as he is right now. Do not be surprised to see Si Woo Kim at the top of the leaderboard this weekend.

 

 

DRAFTKINGS TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

* You are going to need to have six golfers who can finish in the top-15 in order to win a large Tournament Contest this week. I will fade the high-priced golfers and build a balanced lineup with six golfers who have the stats, form and course history to finish in the top-15.

HIDEKI MATSUYAMA ($9,000): I just cannot fade Matsuyama this week. I like him for Cash Contests and I like him for Tournament Contests too. Matsuyama said a month ago that he is dealing with back pain. He finished 1st, 12th, 6th and 7th since that report came out. I am not worried about the health of Matsuyama. If that is how he plays when he is injured, Matsusyama will have a great chance to win if he is healthy.

CAMERON SMITH ($8,900): To be honest, I have not spent a lot of time watching LIV Golf. I do know some people who know that tour inside and out. They tell me that Smith has been playing well when he is motivated. I am sure Smith will be motivated to play the Masters. He finished 34th, 3rd, 10th, 2nd, 51st and 5th in his last six Masters. That is some pretty good course history. I doubt his ownership will be too high this week. It is supposed to be windy at Augusta National this week and Smith is one of the best golfers in the world in Windy conditions.  

CAMERON YOUNG ($8,500): Young is another golfer I really like this week. Golfers who are long and accurate off the tee typically score well at Augusta National. Young is bomber who will have an advantage of using a mid or short-iron into these tough greens. Young ranks No. 9 overall in the key stats and he finished 7th in the Masters last year. He also has not missed a cut all season. Young has everything he needs to finish in the top-five Sunday.  

COLLIN MORIKAWA ($8,400): I checked out many websites to prepare for this year’s Masters to see what everyone is thinking. I did not read much about Morikawa for the Masters this week, so I doubt his ownership will be too high. His form is not the best but I am not worried about it. Morikawa is an elite ball-striker who plays well in the majors. He finished 10th in the Masters last year, 5th in 2022 and 18th in 2021. Morikawa has the upside to finish in the top-10 Sunday.  

MATTHEW FITZPATRICK ($7,900): Fitzpatrick is one of the streakiest golfers on the PGA Tour. His 2024 season started off slow, but he is starting to heat up now. Fitzpatrick finished 5th at THE PLAYERS and 10th last week at the Valero Texas Open. Fitzpatrick can play Augusta National well. He finished 10th last year and 14th in 2014. Fitzpatrick won the U.S. Open in 2022. He will have a good chance to win his first Masters this week.  

RUSSELL HENLEY ($7,200): Henley has a lot going for him this week. He finished 4th last week at the Valero Texas Open and 4th in the signature event at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, so his form is good. Henley ranks No. 14 in the key stats, so the numbers are on his side. Henley finished 4th in the Masters last year and has made seven straight cuts at Augusta National, so he has the course history to play well. Henley is one of the best value golfers in the field this week. I really do not care what his ownership is for the Masters.  

 

Here are my lineups for Multi-Entry Tournament Contest: (Multi Entry Lineups)

 

 

FANDUEL CASH CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

FANDUEL TOURNAMENT CONTEST LINEUP

 

 

PGATOUR.COM FANTASY PICKS

This is the fifth tournament in Segment 2. There are 11 tournaments in this segment (one more than usual). That includes the Masters and the PGA Championship. There are also two “signature events” in this segment (RBC Heritage and the Wells Fargo Championship). This is going to be a tough segment to navigate, so use your allocations wisely.     

* This is the tournament to take a chance with the LIV Tour golfers. They are not available in the non-major tournaments, so playing Jon Rahm, Brooks Koepka and others allows us to save our PGA Tour golfers for the PGA Tour events.

* I am fading Scottie Scheffler this week. We have two signature events and the PGA Championship in this segment. I will use Scheffler when he is not competing against the LIV Tour players.

 

 

FANTASY GOLF CHAMPIONSHIP ONE & DONE PICK: JON RAHM (MASTERS)

Players in Fantasy Golf Championship One & Done so far: Hideki Matsuyama (7th), Will Zalatoris (74th), Maverick McNealy (45th), Justin Thomas (MC), Scottie Scheffler (Won), Russell Henley (41st), Tony Finau (13TH), Sahith Theegala (37th), Sam Burns (3rd), Max Homa (66th), Jason Day (MC), Taylor Montgomery (61st), Corey Conners (57th)

 

SEASON-LONG ONE & DONE PICK:  JON RAHM (MASTERS)

One & Done picks used so far this season: Corey Conners (25th), Keith Mitchell (MC), Sam Burns (MC), Shane Lowry (19th), Matthew Fitzpatrick (MC), Eric Cole (MC), Nicolai Hojgaard (52nd), Adam Scott (19th), J.T. Poston (MC), Jordan Spieth (39th), Keegan Bradley (43rd), Andrew Putnam (47th), Russell Henley (4th), Sungae Im (5th), Alex Noran (Won), Beau Hossler (15TH), Min Woo Lee (6th), Adam Schenk (MC), Eric Cole (35TH), Sahith Theegala (Won)

 

 

BEST BETS THE MASTERS

JON RAHM (12-1)

XANDER SCHAUFFELE (14-1)

HIDEKI MATSUYAMA (20-1)

CAMERON SMITH (45-1)

SHANE LOWRY (60-1)

SI WOO KIM (60-1)

 

I really like Scottie Scheffler to win this week, but I am not betting him at +450. I got creative with my bets so I bet Scheffler to Win the Masters and Denny Hamlin to win the NASCAR Cup Series Championship at +3750 in a parley. A $10 bet pays $385. You can also replace Denny Hamlin with William Byron at +2925 to return $302.50 on a $10 bet.

 

Good Luck This Week!!!!

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